Germany’s far-right AfD is set to win Sunday’s state election in Saxony-Anhalt with a record 44.4% of the vote, early projections showed, as Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s conservative Christian Democrats slumped to a historic low of 18.4%.
Despite that record share of the vote, the AfD was still seen falling short of a majority of seats in the Magdeburg state parliament, according to projections by public broadcaster ARD. With all major parties ruling out a coalition with the AfD, the result pointed to political uncertainty and long talks on forming a government.
The socialist Left party was third at 9.3%. The Greens were forecast at 8.7%. The Social Democrats (SPD) stood at 8.4% and headed toward their weakest showing in the eastern state. The left-wing BSW was at 5% and risked missing the 5% threshold needed to enter parliament. The Free Democrats, junior partners in the outgoing government, were seen at 2.1% and out of the legislature.
According to an initial forecast by Infratest dimap based on exit polls, the parties performed as follows (figures in parentheses indicate the change compared to the previous state election):
AfD: 44.5 percent (+23.7)
CDU: 18.5 percent (-18.6)
Die Linke: 9.5 percent (-1.5)
SPD: 8.0 percent (-0.4)
Greens: 9.0 percent (-3.1)
BSW: 5.0 percent (__)
FDP: 2.0 percent (-4.4)
This results in the following seat distribution:
AfD: 39 seats
CDU: 16 seats
Die Linke: 8 seats
SPD: 7 seats
Greens: 8 seats
BSW: 5 seats
The Magdeburg state parliament has a total of 83 seats; consequently, the AfD would not secure an absolute majority.

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